Back to Impose 25 Percent Tariffs on Imported Goods from Canada and Mexico (January 2025)
Model Estimate T25-0014 – Impose 25 Percent Tariffs on Imported Goods from Canada and Mexico, Distribution by ECI Percentile, 2026 T25-0014.xls
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Table shows the change in the distribution of federal taxes, by expanded cash income percentile in 2026, of a proposal to impose a 25 percent tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico beginning February 1, 2025.  

For a discussion of the distribution metrics presented in this table, see Measuring the Distribution of Tax Changes.
T24-0014
Model Estimates Type Distribution Tables by Income Percentile
Primary topic Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms
Topics Presidential campaign proposals Consumption taxes (individual) International taxation Federal revenue
Model Estimates from the same Simulation Run January 31, 2025
Model Estimate
T25-0013 – Impose 25 Percent Tariffs on Imported Goods from Canada and Mexico, Distribution by ECI Level, 2026
Model Estimate
T25-0015 – Impose 25 Percent Tariffs on Imported Goods from Canada and Mexico, 2025–2035 Fiscal Years
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