Model Estimate T25-0018 – Impose Additional Tariffs on Imported Goods From China, Canada, and Mexico, Distribution by ECI Percentile, 2026 T25-0018.xls
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Table shows the change in the distribution of federal taxes, by expanded cash income percentile in 2026,  of additional 10 percent tariffs on all goods imported from China, effective February 4, 2025 and additional 25 percent tariffs on all goods imported from Canada (a reduced rate of 10 percent would apply to specified "energy or energy resource" goods) and Mexico, effective March 1, 2025.

For a discussion of the distribution metrics presented in this table, see Measuring the Distribution of Tax Changes.

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T25-0018
Model Estimates Type Distribution Tables by Income Percentile
Primary topic Tariffs
Topics Tariffs Presidential campaign proposals Consumption taxes (individual) International taxation
Model Estimates from the same Simulation Run February 7, 2025
Model Estimate
T25-0017 – Impose Additional Tariffs on Imported Goods From China, Canada, and Mexico, Distribution by ECI Level, 2026
Model Estimate Resources