Although tariffs currently constitute a very small share of US federal revenue, both President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden increased their use, and Trump now proposes significantly expanding their application.
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Model Estimate T26-0040 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2036 -
Model Estimate T26-0039 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2030 -
Model Estimate T26-0038 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2029 -
Model Estimate T26-0037 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2028 -
Model Estimate T26-0036 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2027 -
Model Estimate T26-0035 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2026 -
Model Estimate T26-0034 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, 2025 -
TaxVox -
Model Estimate T26-0009 – 2025 Budget Reconciliation Act, One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), Distribution by ECI Percentile and Racial or Ethnic Group, 2026